Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003757 0.003940 0.004127 0.004333 0.004553 0.004783 0.005040
2025-11-02 0.003420 0.003689 0.003974 0.004303 0.004670 0.005071 0.005543
2025-11-09 0.003268 0.003594 0.003951 0.004373 0.004861 0.005411 0.006084
2025-11-16 0.003094 0.003453 0.003854 0.004340 0.004916 0.005584 0.006426
2025-11-23 0.002966 0.003352 0.003791 0.004333 0.004991 0.005772 0.006785
2025-11-30 0.002827 0.003228 0.003692 0.004273 0.004992 0.005864 0.007022
2025-12-07 0.002711 0.003124 0.003608 0.004224 0.004999 0.005957 0.007258
2025-12-14 0.002629 0.003055 0.003562 0.004217 0.005054 0.006109 0.007574
2025-12-21 0.002499 0.002924 0.003433 0.004098 0.004960 0.006061 0.007618
2025-12-28 0.002442 0.002879 0.003408 0.004108 0.005030 0.006228 0.007957
2026-01-04 0.002404 0.002856 0.003409 0.004151 0.005141 0.006452 0.008385
2026-01-11 0.002337 0.002793 0.003357 0.004121 0.005154 0.006542 0.008624
2026-01-18 0.002277 0.002738 0.003313 0.004101 0.005179 0.006651 0.008900
2026-01-25 0.002217 0.002681 0.003265 0.004072 0.005192 0.006741 0.009153
2026-02-01 0.002199 0.002678 0.003286 0.004137 0.005335 0.007022 0.009709
2026-02-08 0.002144 0.002624 0.003239 0.004107 0.005341 0.007104 0.009961
2026-02-15 0.002102 0.002586 0.003211 0.004101 0.005381 0.007237 0.010297
2026-02-22 0.002043 0.002524 0.003149 0.004045 0.005347 0.007254 0.010447
2026-03-01 0.001991 0.002470 0.003095 0.003999 0.005325 0.007288 0.010626
2026-03-08 0.001956 0.002437 0.003070 0.003993 0.005359 0.007410 0.010956
2026-03-15 0.001886 0.002355 0.002975 0.003883 0.005235 0.007280 0.010849
2026-03-22 0.001860 0.002334 0.002963 0.003893 0.005292 0.007434 0.011242
2026-03-29 0.001846 0.002327 0.002971 0.003932 0.005393 0.007665 0.011783